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What words or phrases will Trump say in 2025? [Add Answers]
82
Ṁ3.8kṀ82k
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
YES
Retard (or variant)
Resolved
YES
Shithole(s) or Shit hole(s)
Resolved
YES
Vibe(s)
Resolved
YES
“Radical Islamic Terror(ism)” or “Radical Muslim Terror(ism)”
Resolved
YES
Fuck (or variant)
Resolved
YES
Palestine (not ‘Palestine, Ohio’)
Resolved
YES
“Devil(s)” or “Satan” or “Lucifer”
Resolved
YES
Rocket man
Resolved
YES
Bitch (or variant/compound word)
Resolved
YES
“Bitcoin reserve” or “cryptocurrency reserve”
Resolved
YES
Dick
Resolved
YES
King
Resolved
YES
Queen
Resolved
NO
Panamaga
Resolved
NO
“I love Xi” or “I love China”
Resolved
NO
Covfefe
Resolved
NO
Operation Wetback
Resolved
NO
“Glinda” or “Elphaba”
Resolved
NO
Kendrick Lamar
Resolved
NO
Queer (or variant)

Please add options or comment desired options. Will resolve as they are said and proof is provided.

Resolution Criteria

A phrase will resolve YES if Donald Trump uses it publicly in any context during the 2025 calendar year after this market was created (January 8, 2025 - December 31, 2025). This includes:

  • Speeches

  • Social media posts

  • Interviews

  • Campaign rallies

  • Official statements

  • Press conferences

Unless otherwise specified, the phrase must be used verbatim. Reporting of his remarks not otherwise confirmed do not count (e.g. leaked accounts of private conversations). Changes in capitalization are fine.

Retweeted/retruthed content from other users does not count, but if he directly posts an image with a word/phrase, it will resolve YES.

  • Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "NATO freeloaders (or any variation including freeload)": The phrase must include both "NATO" (or a variation) AND a variation of "freeloader" in the same phrase. Examples that would resolve YES:

    • NATO freeloader

    • NATO's freeloaders

    • NATO freeloading

    • NATO freeloaded

    • Freeloading NATO

Simply using the word "freeloader" or "freeloading" without specifically mentioning NATO in the same phrase does NOT qualify for resolution.

  • Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For answers to resolve YES, Trump must use the phrase after the answer was added to the market and before the end of December 31, 2025. Examples found before the answer's submission date will not count toward resolution.

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I'm switching this market to unranked because someone used it for falsely generating more than 10,000 mana of profits. The user in question is also banned for the time being -- Manifold can look into it if they want. Profit is the One Sacred Metric, you don't get to transfer it.

If you enjoyed this market, check out this one for more easily resolvable outcomes. Add answers!! https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-po?r=SG91c3RvbjIwMjU

bought Ṁ10 YES

@TheAllMemeingEye as I look at the resolution criteria - you are correct. The phrase is included in the body of the post. Resolving yes against my position.

@121 resolves yes

In text posts:

https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/29444

https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/31209

In image posts:

https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/29426

https://www.trumpstruth.org/statuses/29834

but if he directly posts an image with a word/phrase, it will resolve YES.

Meme gif. The "Magikarp Guy" meme: A slack-jawed member of the Australia's Got Talent audience has clearly been wowed.

@TheAllMemeingEye 6 [space] 7 it's s mem.

67 sounds very different from 6-7

@1bets Bet NO.

@Quroe do you see the space between 6 and 7?

The person who addedment exactly 6 -7, but when Trump never said that,.. @121 started saying that he mentioned not 6_7 but sixty seven..

Did Trump said 67 either?

Posts are not "say", it's PR - special people, not exactly Trump.

It's not correct

If Trump say 6 - 7 , it would be everywhere

P.S.: I am blind. Read Polymarkets definitions, that are different from here. Social posts qualify

@Quroe Also "say" and "write"/"post" are different.

His posts maybe created by hired personal, not Trump himself.

There would be mistakes if Trump write himself

@1bets the user who added it said the words sixty seven counts, the number 67 is even closer than that

@TheAllMemeingEye Trump said "six, seven months" on Saturday 3 January 2026

Not in 2025

IT'S 3 jANUARY 2026

@1bets this market and all the posts I shared are for 2025

@TheAllMemeingEye any Trump's speeches?

Not PR social posts published by special people, grammatically correct, with all the correctness checked..

P.S.: I am blind. Read Polymarkets definitions, that are different from here. Social posts qualify

@TheAllMemeingEye these are amazing finds - and per the creator’s answer months ago, they would resolve yes BUT these examples all seem to be after the answer was added on October 8th. If there is an example after it was added on 10/8 and before the end of 12/31, it will resolve yes.

@Houston2025 Trump did say "free-loading" but never in 2025 said NATO "freeloaders" (or any variation including freeload).

There is no reported direct quote from Trump in 2025 where he publicly used the exact phrase “freeloaders” or a direct variation like “NATO freeloaders.”
Trump refers to the concept of “freeloading” in commentary on defense spending and burden-sharing, but there’s no clear record of Trump himself publicly saying “freeloaders” about NATO allies in 2025 in the exact phrasing you mentioned. Available reporting discusses Trump saying allies haven’t paid enough and private chats where aides use terms like “free-loading"

free-loading is a variation of freeload.

@Merchant if there is a link to him saying “NATO free-loading,” it would resolve yes

@Merchant no it's not. Who - frelooaders, what doing - free-loading

When asked about the leak, Trump openly supported the sentiment: “Yes, I think they’ve been freeloaders,” he told reporters, reinforcing his long-held view that NATO allies and other partners should pay more for their defense.

@Merchant Why they are not interchangeable

frefreeloaders - noun (people) Identifies who

freeloading - verb / gerund (action) Describes what is happening

  • Saying “they are freeloading” ≠ saying “they are freeloaders”

  • One describes behavior, the other assigns an identity/label

  • these are not treated as the same statement, not word-form variations.

Example:

  • ❌ “NATO are freeloaders” → explicit labeling

  • ✅ “Some countries are freeloading” → behavioral critique

These are semantically related, but not word-form variations.

Otherwise that word would be resolved long tine ago - it's known for all

@Houston2025

If “freeloading” were considered equivalent to “freeloaders” or “freeload,” this market would have resolved long ago, as that usage has been widely known and discussed all the year.
It is clear that significantly more MANA was bet on NO for “freeloaders / freeload”

“Freeloaders” refers to who (a noun). “Freeload” is the base verb. “Freeloading” describes what is happening (an action/behavior).

These are grammatically and semantically distinct and should not be treated as equivalent.


@Houston2025 , I believe Trump did that interview before the question was added (more than 9 months ago).

Trump was asked if he agreed with Hegseth that Europe is freeloading."

While he argued that he thinks they are freeloading (verb), and this was his actually answer

.

Nowhere then (9 months ago) was used the noun freeloaders or noun freeload.

Also, I believe he hasn't repeated those terms since that initial interview

@Houston2025 This was not about NATO. The remarks referred to Europe in a broad, unspecified sense - essentially all parties that benefit from stability and uninterrupted shipping in the Red Sea.

The focus was on who gains economically and strategically from secure maritime routes, not on NATO obligations or alliance structures.

  • Question: "The Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, and J.D. Vance, the Vice President, said that the Europeans were 'freeloading.' Do you agree with that assessment?"

  • Trump's Answer: "Uh, do you really want me to answer? Yeah, I think they've been freeloading."

@1bets this is about using a specific phrase. If he said “NATO free-loading has to stop,” that would count. Even if he was referring to NATO here, rather than Europe, it wouldn’t count because he didn’t use a variant of the phrase. Will resolve No unless there is a qualifying example.

@Houston2025 you said any variant counts. "freeloaders" is a variant of "NATO freeloaders". So why doesn't this count? What else did you mean by "variation"?

@Merchant examples would include

NATO freeloader

NATO’s freeloaders

NATO freeloading

NATO freeloaded

Freeloading NATO

But it would certainly need to include a variation of both “NATO” and “freeloader” in the same phrase. Just using the word freeloader (and not even about NATO specifically) does not qualify

@Houston2025 I agree — it must be NATO freeloaders, not that some countries or EU are freeloading.
Also, I bought NO only because he has never repeated the same since. In the beginnig of the year he was talking about the Red Sea situation when US was carrying a mission there. Europeans are not all in NATO, and neither is the Middle East. He was speaking about Ukraine in the same dialogue. Like USA is helping all the world, and he just answered the reporter's question of the action, changing focus - not accusing specific NATO (or countries) for being freeloaders - but moving to that USA id spending money for global missions. Not in the same sentence neither

previously Hegseth : https://www.euronews.com/2025/03/25/pathetic-european-free-loading-us-officials-slam-europe-in-leaked-chat Trump's top national security officials laid bare their disdain for Europe in a top-secret group chat that was leaked when a journalist was mistakenly added to the conversation.

“I fully share your loathing of European free-loading. It’s pathetic” — this is how US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth described the continent in what should have been a confidential group chat made up of the Trump administration's national security heavyweights.

The contents of the chat — which included US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth, Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Michael Waltz, Trump's national security adviser — were leaked by the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic, who found himself added to the discussion, likely by accident.

In the chat, which the US National Security Council said "appears to be authentic", the group discussed planned strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen, which commenced hours later.

Aside from top-secret operational information on strikes, the chat also laid bare US disdain for Europe, which Vance first articulated during his speech at the Munich Security Conference.

In the leaked conversation conducted on the Signal app, unauthorised for classified official conversations, Vance said how much he hated “bailing Europe again", claiming that the strikes on Houthis and the subsequent unblocking of trade routes would benefit Europe most.

@1bets Just to be clear - this option was added on January 8th. If he said any variation of the word NATO and any variation of the word freeloader, back to back, this would resolve yes. Unless I see such a phrase, this will resolve no.

@Houston2025 back in 2018, Trump literally said "The era of global freeloading is over": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YywLh0hxyAg 1:30

Thank you for information, I am here since November and saw this question as unresolved for 2 months with low buy. Trump's interview is well-known.. But was long time ago.. That's why I bought NO

@Houston2025 in parentheses you said "or any variation including freeload". I thought this meant that "freeload" was an example of a variation. I see now that you meant "any variation containing freeload".

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