Will Trump do a good job before the 2026 midterms?
Basic
4
Ṁ2852027
21%
Republicans control Congress
7%
Republicans control House Only
51%
Republicans control Senate Only
22%
Republicans control neither House nor Senate
In this market, 'doing a good job' leads to Republicans winning more elections. The market resolves to the outcome that best matches the results of the 2026 midterm elections. If Donald J. Trump does not win the presidency in 2024, this market will resolve immediately to N/A. The choices are 'Republicans control Congress', 'Republicans control House Only', 'Republicans control Senate Only', and 'Republicans control Neither House nor Senate'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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