Will there be a greater than 25% chance that America losses democracy status under Trump at midterm elections?
10
Ṁ600Ṁ159Nov 2
51%
chance
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Resolves based on the time weighted average probability of my own market (linked below) throughout the full week before 2026 midterm elections. If there is above a 25% value on the contract concerning the Freedom House deeming America as 'not free' this market will resolve YES, if the weighted average is below 25% than NO.
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