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MANIFOLD
What will Reform UK's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
1
Ṁ225Ṁ383
resolved May 9
Resolved
1200 - 1500
100%13%
1200 - 1500
0.6%
Below 0
0.6%
0 - 99
0.8%
100 - 299
1.5%
300 - 599
3%
600 - 899
6%
900 - 1199
75%
Above 1500

Resolves at (seats after - seats before). A negative resolution means that they lost seats, a positive resolution means that they gained seats.

Market context
Politics
Elections
UK Politics
UK
Elections: World
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At the start of April there are about 20,000 seats, 1000 seats is 5% of that. Things are unusually turbulent this cycle, with a strong possibility of the government not being simply Labour or Conservative.

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