Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?
20
1kṀ91962029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
Before 01/11/2024
1%
Between 01/11/2024 and 30/06/2025
18%
After 30/06/2025 (by-election held)
80%
No by-election held in these seats before the next UK General Election
Market resolves when either of these is true:
A by-election is called in Clacton-on-Sea, Boston and Skegness, South Basildon and East Thurrock, Great Yarmouth, or Ashfield, for whatever reason.
A UK General Election is called.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
25% chance
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
What will be the distribution of seats after the next UK General Election?
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
18% chance
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
7.2
Will Reform win the next UK election?
27% chance
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
153
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?