What party wins the most seats at the next UK general election?
26
Ṁ150Ṁ1.3k2029
28%
Labour
48%
Reform
13%
Conservatives
1.6%
Liberal Democrats
8%
Greens
1.9%
Resolves to the party that wins the most seats at the election following the 2024 general election.
Resolves using major media reporting, and the Wikipedia table below(example from last election).
If 2 parties get the same amount, resolves 50-50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I think this market is currently underestimating Reform, who are currently predicted to have 260 seats (Labour are closest behind in polling with 151 seats predicted).
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