Which UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
1
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
28%
Conservatives
34%
Greens
34%
Labour
5%
For nearly two months now, UK polling has had the Conservatives, the Greens, and Labour neck and neck, each sat at around 17%, each having equal claim to being second place after Reform.
This market resolves YES for whichever party next moves into a clear second place by polling >=5% above every party other than Reform a period of 14 consecutive days in the Politico Poll of Polls.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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