If Labour loses over 1000 council seats in the 2026 local elections, will Starmer cease to be PM in 2026?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6kDec 31
99%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
99% chance
If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…..?
If Labour loses over 1000 council seats in the 2026 local elections, will Starmer resign in 2026?
99% chance
If Labour loses >1000 council seats & Starmer doesn't leave as PM in 2026, will PM after next election be Labour?
37% chance
If Labour loses >1000 council seats & Starmer leaves as PM in 2026, will PM after next election be Labour?
35% chance
If this person is the Labour candidate for the 2026 Mayor of Greater Manchester election, will they win?
If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
29% chance
Will Keir Starmer lose his seat at the next general election?
58% chance
If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
2% chance
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
2% chance