🐕 Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" by end of 2024?

Will Austin Chen get a dog🐕 by EOY 2030?

Will a therapy that significantly slows or reversed the aging process in domestic animals be developed before 2030?

Will GiveWell be funding constrained a majority of the time until 2030?

🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2024?

Will a large scale, government-backed AI alignment project be funded before 2025?

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

Will Kabosu - the "Doge" Shiba Inu dog live through 2024?

🐕 Will A.I. Get Significantly Better At, "Community Based Ethical Judgements," by the End of 2024?

Will a very large-scale AI alignment project be funded before 2025?