Will a very large-scale AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
20
1kṀ2161resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The focus must be on alignment over capabilites. A dual focus is acceptible as long as there's a serious committment to alignment.
The total amount of funding must be at least $10 billion.
In the event of gradual funding over time, this market can resolve YES if the project ever meets all three criteria at any point in its life.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ101 | |
2 | Ṁ89 | |
3 | Ṁ28 | |
4 | Ṁ20 | |
5 | Ṁ14 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will we solve AI alignment by 2026?
7% chance
Will a >$10B AI alignment megaproject start work before 2030?
32% chance
Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?
35% chance
Will National Governments Collectively Give More than $100M a year in funding for AI Alignment by 2030?
81% chance
Will the OpenAI Non-Profit become a major AI Safety research funder? (Announced by end of 2025)
33% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
10% chance
Will some piece of AI capabilities research done in 2023 or after be net-positive for AI alignment research?
81% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance
Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2050, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
51% chance
Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
34% chance