Will a very large-scale AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
Plus
19
Ṁ1411Jan 2
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The focus must be on alignment over capabilites. A dual focus is acceptible as long as there's a serious committment to alignment.
The total amount of funding must be at least $10 billion.
In the event of gradual funding over time, this market can resolve YES if the project ever meets all three criteria at any point in its life.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a large scale, government-backed AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
12% chance
Will a large-scale, Eliezer-Yudkowsky-approved AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
7% chance
In 2025, will I believe that aligning automated AI research AI should be the focus of the alignment community?
59% chance
Will a >$10B AI alignment megaproject start work before 2030?
29% chance
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
21% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
21% chance
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
4% chance
Will a large scale Alignment Project like The Omega Protocol be funded before 2025?
10% chance
Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?
35% chance
Will Meta AI start an AGI alignment team before 2026?
35% chance