Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group? | Manifold

Will a study performed by the Dog Aging Project show a statistically significant effect of rapamycin on lifespan extension between control groups and a treatment group?

12

1kṀ317

2026

73%

chance

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1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to YES if a statistically significant difference in lifespan between any treatment group and every control group is shown in any scientific journal article published by the Dog Aging Project team as a result of their ongoing non-clinical trial(s) in dogs.

Resolves to NO if this does not happen by 31 DEC 2026.

Link to DAP: https://dogagingproject.org/

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doesnt work + false negative + delays / lose funding make 77 seem high imo. spent 30 seconds thinking about it though so idk

Added this to my health group! (https://manifold.markets/group/health) and related market:

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