π Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2024?
12
143
αΉ398αΉ270
2025
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the 2024 version of the linked market. I will fill in details later.
I may use an updated metric if the above metric is stale. I aim to get the details to this market completed by end of January 2024.
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-be-able-to-make-significant
Get αΉ200 play money
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