Will there be another political Assassination or a famous figure that everyone knows in 2025? | Manifold

Will there be another political Assassination or a famous figure that everyone knows in 2025?

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Dec 31

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There are a few public lists of top 10,000 famous celebrities. I can generate one with AI. This is what I mean by everyone knows. An attempt counts as long as a shot is fired. It doesn't matter if the shooter has a political leaning, only that the target does, or is famous. Globally in 2025.

Or mass shooting of Christians! Not counting today's murder. In this case there must be multiple deaths to qualify as Yes.

Related market:
https://manifold.markets/SteveBright/will-some-crazy-shit-happen-in-the-SnL2qAEq60

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See my other related market: Will some Crazy Shit happen this month!
https://manifold.markets/SteveBright/will-some-crazy-shit-happen-in-the-SnL2qAEq60

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