Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
When will the next big Assasination happen?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ34
2030
72%
Before 2030
61%
Before 2029
58%
Before 2028
38%
Before 2027

An american assassination must be of an important political figure (House member, governor, ect.), of a another high profile individual I (should) have heard of before, or a cultural significant moment like the assassination of Brian Thompson. In resent years only the murders of Charlie Kirk and Brian Thompson would have counted. The murder of Melisa Hortman would not have counted. If there is a debatable case I might resolve N/a. Feel free to ask clarifying questions.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!