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MANIFOLD
When will the next big Assasination happen?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ25
2030
72%
Before 2030
59%
Before 2029
50%
Before 2028
41%
Before 2027

An american assassination must be of an important political figure (House member, governor, ect.), of a another high profile individual I (should) have heard of before, or a cultural significant moment like the assassination of Brian Thompson. In resent years only the murders of Charlie Kirk and Brian Thompson would have counted. The murder of Melisa Hortman would not have counted. If there is a debatable case I might resolve N/a. Feel free to ask clarifying questions.

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