Update 2026-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Khamenei specifically, the market will wait for official confirmation of death before resolving.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Neal Dunn, followed by Mitch McConnell and Lech Wałęsa are most likely. See the market for live updates (17 traders, as of Jul 29, 2026).

(Add Answers) Which political figures/World leaders will pass before the end of 2026?

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(Add Answers) Which political figures/World leaders will pass before the end of 2026?

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Dec 31

67%

Neal Dunn

42%

Mitch McConnell

38%

Lech Wałęsa

38%

Ben Sasse

29%

Imelda Marcos

27%

Jean Chrétien

27%

Douglas Hurd

26%

Harald V of Norway

26%

Dennis Skinner

25%

Michiko

24%

Akihito

24%

Joseph Estrada

24%

Wes Uhlman

22%

Paul Keating

22%

King Charles III

18%

Clint Eastwood

12%

Joe Biden

Bill Clinton

Chuck Grassley

Donald Trump

Update 2026-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Khamenei specifically, the market will wait for official confirmation of death before resolving.

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