Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?
39
1kṀ2987
2027
84%
chance

GPT4-0314

For the locally run model, we refer to the Language Model alone, not augmented with search/RAG/function_call. It needs a minimum throughput of 4 tokens/second

Not sure what benchmarks people use in 2026, but let’s say LMSYS Arena for the moment. Will change depends on the trend.

Current SOTA:

I am not sure Phi3(3.8B) can fit on a phone. If not, the current bests are MiniCPM and Gemma 2B

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