Most popular language model from OpenAI competitor by 2026?
closes 2026

At any point before Jan 1 2026, for a period of 3 months or more, will the most used general purpose language model (at least 70% on mmlu, or comparable in other benchmarks) be one produced by anyone other than OpenAI?

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PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneybought Ṁ10 of YES

How does this get measured? You could easily have locally run LLAMA LLM's running on thousands of smartphone apps for chats as they are essentially free, but we might not know what's what's being used across all of those apps.

DavidJohnston avatar
David Johnston

@PatrickDelaney I don’t know, but I’ll do my best to estimate such things at the time

PatrickDelaney avatar
Patrick Delaneyis predicting YES at 40%

@DavidJohnston Github stars?

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingbought Ṁ50 of NO

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