Most popular language model from OpenAI competitor by 2026?
Basic
6
Ṁ1352026
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At any point before Jan 1 2026, for a period of 3 months or more, will the most used general purpose language model (at least 70% on mmlu, or comparable in other benchmarks) be one produced by anyone other than OpenAI?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
9% chance
By the end of Q1 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
76% chance
What organization will have the top language model on LMSys overall leaderboards December 1st 2024?
Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?
26% chance
By the end of Q2 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
76% chance
Best available language model from an OpenAI competitor by 2026
73% chance
Will any speech model exceed chatGPT interest? (by 2025)
38% chance
Will openAI have the most accurate LLM across most benchmarks by EOY 2024?
39% chance
Will Meta release an open source language model that outperforms GPT-4 by the end of 2024
63% chance
Will there be an AI language model that surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
65% chance