Will a single model running on a single consumer GPU (<1.5k 2020 USD) outperform GPT-3 175B on all benchmarks in the original paper by 2025?
29
1kṀ3926
2026
86%
chance
There are no restrictions on the amount or kind of compute used to *train* the model. Question is about whether it will actually be done, not whether it will be possible in theory. If I judge the model to really be many specific models stuck together to look like one general model it will not count.
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