Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?
23
1kṀ978
2026
82%
chance

Similar to /LoganZoellner/will-we-have-a-foss-equivalent-of-g

With this much excitement and energy in the LLM space, I am fairly confident in this prediction: Before the end of this year, there will be an open source model that is equivalent in quality to #GPT4

Resolves positive if a FOSS model (no signup required to download) is pubically available by 12/31/25 that outperforms GPT-4 on at least 50% of the tests listed in this article (https://www.semafor.com/article/03/15/2023/how-gpt-4-performed-in-academic-exams)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy