
By 2028 will a language model beat the Ender Dragon?
6
130Ṁ1052028
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
[SPRING](https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.15486) uses GPT-4 to play a simple Minecraft-like game. By 2028 will an LLM in this setup or a similar setup beat the Ender Dragon in Minecraft?
(Note that I'm not going to count something like [Voyager](https://voyager.minedojo.org/), because it seems to me like they're making the problem too easy. I'll make a separate market for that)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
68% chance
Most popular language model from OpenAI competitor by 2026?
36% chance
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will a language model that runs locally on a consumer cellphone beat GPT4 by EOY 2026?
78% chance
By 2030, will large language models still be at the peak of AI? [DRAFT]
25% chance
Best available language model from an OpenAI competitor by 2026
73% chance
Will a Large Language Model save a human life through medical advice by the end of 2025?
90% chance
DeepSeek will have the best language model in the world by a clear margin as of Feb 1 2026
11% chance
Will all of the publicly accessible parts of heavengames.com/aok.heavengames.com become part of a large language model like Claude or GPT by 2025?
59% chance
By 2028, will there be a language model of less than 10B parameters that is superior to GPT-4?
84% chance