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MANIFOLD
Will there be a by-election in Kingswood (Chris Skidmoore’s seat) before the next general election?
10
Ṁ190Ṁ2.1k
resolved Feb 15
Resolved
YES

Chris Skidmoore has announced that he is resigning the Tory whip and standing down as an MP:

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/jan/05/chris-skidmore-resigns-conservative-whip-over-sunaks-oil-and-gas-licence-plan

This should lead to a by-election in his seat of Kingswood.

Will a by-election take place before the next general election?

  • If a by-election takes place, the market will resolve to YES

  • If Parliament is dissolved for a general election before any by-election is announced, the market will resolve to NO

  • If a by-election is announced but cancelled because Parliament has been dissolved for a general election, this market resolves to NO

Related markets:

/SimonGrayson/uk-general-election-which-month-in-6ab8406103dd

/Noit/which-party-will-win-the-kingswood

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The date for the by-election has been set as 15th February.

This market will resolve to YES if the by-election goes ahead on that date and it will resolve to NO if Parliament is dissolved before then meaning that the by-election is cancelled.

Who will win if the by-election takes place? Bet on Noit’s market here:

/Noit/which-party-will-win-the-kingswood