Two weeks ago, Nigel Farage returned as leader of Reform UK and said that his party would win over 4 million votes. This seemed like a very bold claim, but Manifold's predictors think that there's a good chance he's right:

/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot

Now Farage has upped the ante and said that Reform UK will win more than 6 million votes!

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/14/reform-leader-nigel-farage-says-he-is-now-leader-of-the-opposition

Will he be proven right? Will there be more than 6,000,000 votes for Reform UK candidates?