
UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 6,000,000 votes?
55
1kṀ16kresolved Jul 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Two weeks ago, Nigel Farage returned as leader of Reform UK and said that his party would win over 4 million votes. This seemed like a very bold claim, but Manifold's predictors think that there's a good chance he's right:
/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot
Now Farage has upped the ante and said that Reform UK will win more than 6 million votes!
Will he be proven right? Will there be more than 6,000,000 votes for Reform UK candidates?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ633 | |
| 2 | Ṁ390 | |
| 3 | Ṁ369 | |
| 4 | Ṁ333 | |
| 5 | Ṁ266 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Reform win the next UK election?
42% chance
Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
16% chance
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
202
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
16% chance
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
7.3
Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?
20% chance
Will Reform win a majority of the seats in the 2026 Senedd election?
10% chance
Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election
61% chance
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
19% chance
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?