This market resolves based on the Politico Poll of Polls tracker. It will resolve to the highest single average voting intention for Reform UK up to the date of the next general election; and not before. The market end date will not be extended unless, for some reason the date of the next general election is later than the planned latest date of the 15th August 2029.

In the unlikely scenario that this is not available at time of resolution, it will resolve based on the most similar available 'average of polls' resource, for example this page on the economist. If in this unlikely scenario, the highest intention is lower than the minimum of the range on this market, the market will resolve to the lowest end of the market's range.