Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
137
11kṀ100k
Dec 31
11%
chance

Resolves similar to this market: https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat, but the AI model has to be OpenAI o1 or a direct iteration of o1.

The market will resolve to YES if:
- The linked market resolves YES because of OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration)
- OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) accomplishes a comparable feat as the model that caused the linked market to resolve YES

Note: By "direct iteration," this market refers to any model explicitly branded as a continuation or update of OpenAI o1, such as a model named "o2" or "o3", rather than a distinct, separately branded model.

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