
Will OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration like o3) get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
137
11kṀ100kDec 31
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves similar to this market: https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat, but the AI model has to be OpenAI o1 or a direct iteration of o1.
The market will resolve to YES if:
- The linked market resolves YES because of OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration)
- OpenAI o1 (or any direct iteration) accomplishes a comparable feat as the model that caused the linked market to resolve YES
Note: By "direct iteration," this market refers to any model explicitly branded as a continuation or update of OpenAI o1, such as a model named "o2" or "o3", rather than a distinct, separately branded model.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
93% chance
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
83% chance
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
71% chance
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
87% chance
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
86% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
91% chance
Will an AI get gold at the IMO? (no time restrain)
76% chance
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
89% chance
What will be the first year that an AI gets gold on an International Mathematical Olympiad?
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?