If a Democrat is elected president in 2024, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of their term?
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27
แน29152029
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
If no Democrat is elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).
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Hi everyone, I would like to change the resolution criteria to 'the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'
I think this would be far more in line with the spirit of this question, and would capture any antics with the 2028 election, which is a big factor. Do people agree with this change?
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