If there's a recession before election day 2024, will a Democrat win the presidential election?

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resolved Sep 22

Resolved

N/A

ALL

If the National Bureau of Economic Analysis says that a recession started before election day 2024 and a Democrat wins the election, this market resolves to YES.

I'll wait until September 1st 2025 whether NBER calls a recession. Then I'll resolve to N/A.

I'll rely on whatever the consensus of news outlets calls the election for (AP, Fox News, CBS News, ABC News, and DecisionDeskHQ).

I may bet on this market.

Market context

US Politics

Economics

Democratic Party

2024 US Presidential Election

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bought Ṁ300 NO

This can only resolve NO or N/A now. @AndrewHebb you probably want to sell your YES shares.

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