If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Question

This will be resolved based on the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.'

https://v-dem.net/

If Trump is not elected in 2024, this market will close NA (all mana returned).

Companion question:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Siebe/if-a-democrat-is-elected-president)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 12% chance (210 traders, as of Aug 19, 2026).