Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
Basic
38
αΉ€947
2028
48%
chance

From https://metaculus.com/questions/11045/democrat-wins-2028-us-presidential-election/

Every 4 years, the United States elects a president with its unique system of the Electoral College. A candidate must secure the majority of Electoral College votes, following the process outlined in the Twelfth Amendment to the US Constitution.

The 2028 United States Presidential Election is set to be held on November 7, 2028.

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