Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
19
1kαΉ30232040
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If it's rated at least a six on the democracy index by the Economist Intelligence Unit, resolves YES.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?time=latest
If the Economist Intelligence Unit ceases to function I will choose another measurement after consulting with traders.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
25% chance
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
46% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2050?
82% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
89% chance
Will the world be more democratic in 2045?
30% chance
Will Nigeria be a democracy in 2040?
62% chance
Will the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
67% chance
Will China have true democracy in 2040?
14% chance
Will India be a democracy in 2050?
58% chance