
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
19
1kṀ30232040
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If it's rated at least a six on the democracy index by the Economist Intelligence Unit, resolves YES.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?time=latest
If the Economist Intelligence Unit ceases to function I will choose another measurement after consulting with traders.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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