Will Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' H3 rocket launch again before 2024?
10
210Ṁ2165
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO

For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch.

The last launch was on 6 March 2023, the second stage did not ignite and the vehicle failed to achieve orbit.

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"However, Mitsubishi, which co-develops the rocket, told reporters this month it hopes to launch again for the other co-developer, the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), as soon as early 2024."

https://parabolicarc.com/2023/10/30/mitsubishi-announces-ambitious-launch-schedule-for-japans-unproven-h3-rocket/

The h3 launches are still just showing as planned: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_H-II_series_and_H3_launches#2023

They say it's one of 3 possible problems: either a short circuit in the "exciter", or an overcurrent causing damage, or an overcurrent in the second stage propulsion controller. As a solution they'll just improve all the possible systems.

While electrical updates don't really require a whole new rocket to be built, it does seem like they're only gonna start just now with the fixes... I'm less confident now that they'll fly again this year. Could still happen but I don't know how fast JAXA works.

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