Before end of 2205?

crewed.

Please update

I suspect you're likely to have more success asking people to use respectful language if you speak to them respectfully.

"please"

The operational history thus far does not inspire confidence

If Starship is launched unmanned, but then docked to by a dragon or something, putting actual people in the Starship, does that count? Starship would be doing a "manned flight", but without a manned launch or landing. Would it still count if Starship does no big propulsion at all while there's people on it, just staying in LEO like a space station?

@Mqrius I would think it should count

@ZZZZZZ I don't think this should count. I understand how you can argue that it does, but it doesn't feel in the spirit of the question

@JoshuaWilkes it's simply a different question if it counts vs if it isn't. Both are interesting, but the distinction matters. @NathanpmYoung ?

I see @NathanpmYoung changed the market description to clarify this distinction. I don't think Manifold gave me a notification 🤔

Anyway, that changes things a lot, so now I'm predicting No.

@Mqrius Sorry I should have commented