The operational history thus far does not inspire confidence

If Starship is launched unmanned, but then docked to by a dragon or something, putting actual people in the Starship, does that count? Starship would be doing a "manned flight", but without a manned launch or landing. Would it still count if Starship does no big propulsion at all while there's people on it, just staying in LEO like a space station?

@Mqrius I would think it should count

@ZZZZZZ I don't think this should count. I understand how you can argue that it does, but it doesn't feel in the spirit of the question

@JoshuaWilkes it's simply a different question if it counts vs if it isn't. Both are interesting, but the distinction matters. @NathanpmYoung ?

I see @NathanpmYoung changed the market description to clarify this distinction. I don't think Manifold gave me a notification 🤔

Anyway, that changes things a lot, so now I'm predicting No.

@Mqrius Sorry I should have commented