Will Astrobotic Technology's Peregrine lander successfully land on the moon?
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resolved Jan 18
Resolved
NO

Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company. The Peregrine lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. It should attempt a landing February 23, 2024.

For a successful mission the Peregrine lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational. The Peregrine mission is followed by two Griffin missions.

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Very unfortunate

predicted NO

@ScipioFabius Indeed. I hope they can salvage something and that this isn't a complete loss of propulsion.

They have comms back, but it's not out of the woods yet:

predicted YES

@EvanDaniel Yeah, I suppose if the failure in the propulsion system is critical, there is no hope for a soft land.

https://www.astrobotic.com/peregrine-mission-one-update-2/

Astrobotic reports an anomaly of some kind.

predicted YES

@Sailfish Very unfortunate, but it seems there is hope that it can be salvaged.

predicted NO

@Mqrius Yeah, that's bad

predicted NO

@ScipioFabius I suspect the comms outage will be half a day because of Earth's rotation, and we won't find out if their maneuver worked or not until then. We might get hints if any amateurs are tracking its heartbeat from the other side of the world.

predicted NO

@Mqrius Not sure where this person is located, for example

predicted YES

@Mqrius Hmm, could be the case, but it would be odd if their comms were connected only to their ground based center. But yeah, someone was commenting on that tweet that they are receiving signals on their dishes in Germany

predicted NO

@ScipioFabius I think normally these things are done with the DSN, but the DSN is overloaded so maybe they didn't book a slot.

DSN dish 53 seems to be trying to connect from Madrid but it doesn't indicate a successful connection yet.

https://eyes.nasa.gov/dsn/dsn.html

The guy I linked above is in Italy though so we might indeed get some info from there too.

predicted NO

@Mqrius I don't have timestamps on these messages but they're in order from older to newer.

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@Mqrius Thank you for updating, this looks promising!

@Mqrius

Hard to interpret the news, but at least they have communications and the maneuver was a success. The question is now if the propulsion system failure is critical and cant be salvaged.

@ScipioFabius Nice :)

DSN is receiving now as well!

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