Will Astra's Rocket 4 ever achieve orbit?
2
298
70
2030
24%
chance

Rocket 4 is a two-stage liquid fueled rocket. The first stage is powered by two licensed Firefly Reaver engines, and the second stage is powered by a single Hadley Ursa Major engine. The first flight is scheduled for late 2023.

For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch. Achieve orbit means the rocket reaches orbital velocity.

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Dunno how this changes the probabilities

bought Ṁ30 of NO

How do bankruptcies work? When could we be certain that they don't get revived?