Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2025?
31
3.2kṀ9051
Dec 31
90%
Falcon Heavy
87%
LVM3
66%
Nuri
44%
Tianlong 3
40%
Gilmour Space Eris
38%
Proton M
37%
Zhuque 3
36%
Pallas 1
36%
Ariane 64
35%
Chollima 1
35%
Vikram 1
34%
RFA One
33%
Starship
31%
Kairos
30%
Qased
29%
Ceres-2
27%
Kinetica-2
23%
Long March 12A
18%
Isar Spectrum
14%
Nebula-1

Resolves to all correct answers. Either the payload or the uppermost stage must be reported to reach orbit*.

Feel free to suggest additions; I will add them, but there should be at least some question about whether or not a launch will happen in 2024 (am more happy to entertain speculation on the unlikely to launch end)

*Starship near-orbits don't count

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