Will Astra's Rocket 4 achieve orbit on its first launch?
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Rocket 4 is a two-stage liquid fueled rocket. The first stage is powered by two licensed Firefly Reaver engines, and the second stage is powered by a single Hadley Ursa Major engine. The first flight is scheduled for late 2023.
For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch. Achieve orbit means the rocket reaches orbital velocity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@EvanDaniel If it never launches then the market resolves N/A. I don't think I've made a market with an ambiguous conditional like this, there is a separate market for if it will ever happen.
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