Will Astra's Rocket 4 achieve orbit on its first launch?
3
90Ṁ136Jan 2
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Rocket 4 is a two-stage liquid fueled rocket. The first stage is powered by two licensed Firefly Reaver engines, and the second stage is powered by a single Hadley Ursa Major engine. The first flight is scheduled for late 2023.
For it to count as a launch the rocket needs to complete the countdown sequence and the holdown clamps need to release. A scrub won't count as a launch. Achieve orbit means the rocket reaches orbital velocity.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Astra's Rocket 4 ever achieve orbit?
8% chance
Will Gilmour Space's Eris rocket reach space on the first attempt?
41% chance
Will a rocket built by Relativity Space ever achieve orbit?
82% chance
Will the first rocket launch from the UK's SaxaVord spaceport be successful?
60% chance
Will the first rocket launch from the UK's Sutherland spaceport be successful?
59% chance
When will Rocket Lab's Neutron first reach orbit?
What company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?