Will resolve YES if the unemployment rate reaches 10% or higher at any point between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Will resolve NO otherwise, after data for the whole period has been made public.
May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028. On the other hand, if for example the 2028 election gets delayed and is still referred to as the 2028 election but occurs in 2029, it will not resolve as N/A and be extended until the actual election occurs.
Source used for resolution:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
Screenshot showing data up to November 2023 for reference:
Related:
/SIMOROBO/will-the-inflation-rate-in-the-us-r
/SIMOROBO/will-unemployment-rate-in-the-unite