
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
21
1kṀ11602030
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
The monthly US unemployment rate has been 10% or more on three occasions since recording began: 2020 (14.7%), 2009 (10.0%), and 1982 (10.8%).
See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:
Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 10% or more in any month before the end of this decade?
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?
13% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
25% chance
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
13% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
12% chance
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
75% chance
Will world unemployment reach 20% at any time before 2030?
23% chance
Will unemployment increase to greater than 25% at any point between now and 2031?
25% chance
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
27% chance
If the US unemployment reaches 20% will it reach 80% within 2 years? (AI take-off)
10% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
20% chance