Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030? | Manifold

Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?

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"unemployment" refers to the monthly unemployment rate published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

The monthly US unemployment rate has been 10% or more on three occasions since recording began: 2020 (14.7%), 2009 (10.0%), and 1982 (10.8%).

See data from BLS or St Louis Fed below:

Will the United States have an unemployment rate of 10% or more in any month before the end of this decade?

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