Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
23
2.0k
2028
25%
chance

Resolves YES if the inflation rate is announced to be 6% or higher on any given month between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections in the United States, inclusive of the two months when the elections happen.

Resolves NO otherwise, after the CPI data was made public for the month of the 2028 presidential election. Will not wait for corrections.

The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/

May resolve N/A if an event makes it clear there will be no presidential election in 2024 or 2028. On the other hand, if for example the 2028 election gets delayed and is still referred to as the 2028 election but occurs in 2029, it will not resolve as N/A and be extended until the election actually occurs.

Other data source for exploring the evolution of the US inflation rate:
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi

As of Feb 2024, inflation rate is 3.1%.
Here is a screenshot of the past 25 years:

Related:
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/SIMOROBO/will-the-yearly-inflation-rate-in-t

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