Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
Plus
11
Ṁ8642030
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE to be used as a resolution source.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The data series shows me 3 events in the past 7 decades, for a rate of 0.043 per year, or 0.257 per 6-year window. This calculator gives me a 22.7% base rate for that.
Related questions
Related questions
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
23% chance
Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?
21% chance
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
18% chance
The U.S. unemployment rate will surpass 4.5% in 2024.
35% chance
Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?
40% chance
Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?
19% chance
Will unemployment rate in the US reach 10% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
24% chance
Will world unemployment reach 20% at any time before 2030?
23% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
12% chance
[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?
87% chance