Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan before 2026, and if so, when?
21
250Ṁ3991
Dec 31
44%
Tumbles is not late on a loan before 2026
1%
April
6%
May
45%
June
1%
July
1%
August
0.4%
September
0.7%
October
0.4%
November
0.4%
December

resolves according to, according to the main market, the month of "the final day during which payment is not late" of the first loan Tumbles is late on

for example, if tumbles is late on their loan to TimothyJohnson5c16 due July 31st 2025, this market will resolve to July

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@4fa hope it's clear that this is April 2025, i.e. this month, for which @Tumbles has no debts due, so far. But I guess the month still has halfway to go and nothing would surprise me anymore.

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