Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Basic
7
Ṁ1212028
80%
JD Vance
60%
Gavin Newsom
50%
Josh Shapiro
50%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
50%
JB Pritzker
46%
Pete Buttigieg
40%
Ron DeSantis
34%
Kamala Harris
30%
Gretchen Whitmer
20%
Stephen A. Smith
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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