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MANIFOLD
Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
83%
Gavin Newsom
82%
JD Vance
80%
Pete Buttigieg
75%
JB Pritzker
75%
Andy Beshear
75%
Josh Shapiro
70%
Ron DeSantis
69%
Jon Ossoff
67%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
66%
Cory Booker
66%
Ted Cruz
60%
Marco Rubio
54%
Elissa Slotkin
53%
Kamala Harris
52%
Wes Moore
51%
Chris Van Hollen
49%
Glenn Youngkin
41%
Ruben Gallego
33%
Nikki Haley
29%
Pete Hegseth

Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)

All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.

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@traders Two markets split by party, where anyone can add answers, are here:

bought Ṁ20 NO

@256 Junior or Senior?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@jks senior

bought Ṁ3 YES

Related:

Mike Johnson might run should he become president after Trump and Vance both having to vacate the presidency because of scandal or after passing away.

@Robincvgr does running in a primary count?

@100Anonymous yes, whenever the FEC Form 2 is filed

bought Ṁ5 YES

Wes Moore?

@StevenBlake Ask and you shall receive