Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
Resolves as true if such a system is created before September 15th 2027
Here are markets with the same criteria:
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-august-15th
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-september-1s
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-september-15 (this question)
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-october-1st
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2028
Yearwise markets:
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039
Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AGI_circuit_board.png
@SteelSphinx 🤣 hadn't seen this one.
My guess is currently around Q3 2027, but I'm apparently terrible at making predictions so...