Will we get AGI before August 1st 2027?
150
2027
17%
chance

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as true if such a system is created before August 1st 2027

Here are markets with the same criteria:

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2027

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-august-1st-2 (this question)

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-september-1s

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-october-1st

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-july-2028

Yearwise markets:

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038

/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039

Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:AGI_circuit_board.png

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