
Will someone turn 123 before 2032?
8
110Ṁ6682032
3%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a person has reached the age of 123 before January 1st 2032.
Different years:
/RemNi/will-someone-turn-123-before-2031
/RemNi/will-someone-turn-123-before-2032 (this question)
If all known candidates pass away before this date, then this question resolves as NO.
Oldest people: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oldest_people
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will anyone currently living be verified as 120 years old by 2030?
23% chance
Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
25% chance
Will someone break the record for longest human lifespan by EOY 2035? (122 years 164 days)
52% chance
Will anyone be at least 130 years old by 2072?
69% chance
By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?
88% chance
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
12% chance
Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?
22% chance
Will anyone be at least 140 years old by 2072?
16% chance
Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?
15% chance
Will anyone reach 125 years of age before 2035?
8% chance