Will someone turn 123 before 2031?
9
150Ṁ3032031
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a person has reached the age of 123 before January 1st 2031.
Different years:
/RemNi/will-someone-turn-123-before-2031 (this question)
/RemNi/will-someone-turn-123-before-2032
If all known candidates pass away before this date, then this question resolves as NO.
Oldest people: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oldest_people
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will someone turn 123 before 2032?
24% chance
Will anyone reach 125 years of age before 2035?
14% chance
Will anyone be at least 130 years old by 2072?
51% chance
Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
15% chance
Will we see someone live to 120 years old by 2030?
18% chance
Will anyone be at least 140 years old by 2072?
20% chance
Will anyone currently living be verified as 120 years old by 2030?
27% chance
Will anyone be at least 150 years old by 2072?
12% chance
Will any human who was never in a human womb reach 1 year of age before 2032?
15% chance
Will someone break the record for longest human lifespan by EOY 2035? (122 years 164 days)
52% chance