Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
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190Ṁ4332031
15%
chance
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The oldest person alive as of writing this question is 116 years old. Only one known person in history lived to be 120 years old (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeanne_Calment).
The question will resolve to YES if the oldest person listed on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_living_people in 2030 is at least 120 full years old.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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