Will the oldest person alive in 2030 be at least 120 years old?
14
190Ṁ574
2031
20%
chance

The oldest person alive as of writing this question is 116 years old. Only one known person in history lived to be 120 years old (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeanne_Calment).

The question will resolve to YES if the oldest person listed on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_living_people in 2030 is at least 120 full years old.

  • Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market may resolve to NO before 2030. An early NO resolution will occur if it is confirmed that there are no longer any living people who were born in or before 1910.

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