By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?
Plus
74
Ṁ77392032
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@wadimiusz Highly nitpicking point here, but you should in that case phrase your markets as "on X date" rather than using the word "by." By is more ambiguous.
Related questions
Related questions
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
79% chance
Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?
45% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
38% chance
Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
74% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
48% chance
Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
41% chance
Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
60% chance
Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
77% chance
Conditional on at least 10 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
33% chance
By what year will there be more human alive than humans dead?