By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive? | Manifold

By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?

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Did you mean "there will be >1bn people alive the whole time until 2033", or did you mean "on 2033-jan-01 there will be >1bn people alive"?

@Jotto999 The latter

@wadimiusz Highly nitpicking point here, but you should in that case phrase your markets as "on X date" rather than using the word "by." By is more ambiguous.

@akrasiac I appreciate a fellow nitpick. Thanks!

If not, I won’t be one of them, so I won’t care how this resolves.

Misread the market and thought it said 10 billion 😭

By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

People are also trading

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

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Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?

Will the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?

Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will I be alive at the start of 2100?

Will I be alive at the start of 2040?

Will I be alive at the start of 2050?

Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will the total global population exceed 8.5 billion before the end of 2031

Related questions

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will I be alive at the start of 2030?

Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?

Will the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?

Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

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Will I be alive at the start of 2050?

Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will the total global population exceed 8.5 billion before the end of 2031

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