Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will there be another assassination of a fortune 500 executive before the UHC killer is caught?
30
Ṁ1kṀ15k
resolved Dec 10
Resolved
NO

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will remain open indefinitely if the killer's body is never found.

  • Update 2024-10-12 (PST): The market will be resolved as No since the killer has already been caught. (AI summary of creator comment)

Market context
News
Death markets
Crime
Law & Order
UnitedHealthcare CEO Assassination
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ249
2Ṁ147
3Ṁ82
4Ṁ72
5Ṁ70

People are also trading

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?
Will another assassination of a public figure happen on a college campus before 2027?
27% chance
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
20% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?
45% chance
Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have an accomplice?
2% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2029?
29% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030?
30% chance
Will there be 5 or more assassinations/executions of heads of state/government in the 2020s?
75% chance
When will a notable American politician or corporate executive be assassinated by drone?
22% chance
When will a notable American politician or corporate executive be assassinated by a cheap non state drone within the US?
22% chance
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 YES

What does “caught” mean?

They already “caught” him, but he hasn’t worked his way through sentencing yet

@KimberlyWilberLIgt He's caught; Was just waiting a bit to verify the claims

@Quillist awwww. Okay~

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Quillist Will you extend the market indefinitely if the killer's body is never found?

@LoganTurner yes

People are also trading

What were the motives of the UnitedHealthcare CEO assassin?
Will another assassination of a public figure happen on a college campus before 2027?
27% chance
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
20% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?
45% chance
Did the killer of Brian Thompson, the UnitedHealthcare CEO, have an accomplice?
2% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2029?
29% chance
Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030?
30% chance
Will there be 5 or more assassinations/executions of heads of state/government in the 2020s?
75% chance
When will a notable American politician or corporate executive be assassinated by drone?
22% chance
When will a notable American politician or corporate executive be assassinated by a cheap non state drone within the US?
22% chance