A shorter-timeframe version of /IhorKendiukhov/will-there-be-an-assassination-atte-8tzbee63i1
This will resolve Yes iff the underlying market resolves Yes as a result of events before 2029-01-01 UTC. Resolution may be delayed if there are candidate events and ongoing discussion as to whether they qualify; event timing matters here, not resolution timing.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ115 | |
| 2 | Ṁ114 | |
| 3 | Ṁ83 | |
| 4 | Ṁ30 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
@EvanDaniel Shouldn't this have resolved already from the attack on Sam Altman earlier this year
On April 10, 2026, Daniel Moreno-Gama allegedly traveled from Texas to San Francisco and threw a lit Molotov cocktail at Sam Altman’s residences at about 3:30 a.m. The April 13 U.S. Attorney release says he traveled “in order to kill” the CEO of a major AI company; police found additional incendiary devices, kerosene, and a document advocating killing AI-company CEOs, admitting the attempt, and addressing the victim with “If by some miracle you live.” The same release says he then tried to enter the AI company’s headquarters and threatened to burn it and kill people inside. The underlying federal complaint identifies the victim as CEO of an AI research-and-deployment company. OpenAI and Altman were publicly identified by major reporting.
The San Francisco District Attorney independently charged Moreno-Gama with two counts of attempted murder and alleges he threw the device where his target would be asleep and vulnerable. Charges remain allegations and the defendant is presumed innocent, but the market does not require a conviction. Its specified evidentiary standard is credible public confirmation; detailed, concordant federal and local law-enforcement accounts satisfy that standard far better than the unsupported victim claims the creator excluded.
https://www.justice.gov/usao-ndca/pr/texas-man-faces-multiple-federal-charges-related-attack-ai-company-and-its-ceo
https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1435876/dl