When will a notable American politician or corporate executive be assassinated by a cheap non state drone within the US?
8
82
170
2125
22%
chance

https://twitter.com/ilaffey2/status/1759353732075294766

They're notable if there's a Wikipedia article about them.

If it happens in 2024, it'll resolve 1%; if it happens in 2025, it'll resolve 2%, etc.

Cheap means more like the drone in the tweet than a drone like the Predator drone for example.

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This should be higher than this other market:

Shouldn't you start from 99% down?

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